We analysed technology trends and their rates of development alongside our ability to mitigate climate change, resulting in four scenarios. These scenarios range from minimal technological progress and failed climate action to significant technological advancements and successfully limit global warming.
But We are only discussing the two scenarios that include significant technology advancement in more detail, mainly as we are a technology startup and we also hope that we are going to play a part in this in Australia.
Scenario 4: Successfully Limiting Global Warming to 1.5-2.4°C & Significant Technological Advances in Digital, Biotech, Energy, and Automation
In a more controlled adaptation scenario, the pace of change is slower, and global warming has been successfully mitigated.
Traditional farming adaptations are adequate for sustaining food production while minimising emissions and limiting the expansion of farmland.
Key technologies are utilised to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, increase yields, manage food waste, enhance supply chains, strengthen infrastructure, and improve resilience strategies.
Desert and seawater farming have become established practices. At the same time, vertical and urban farms enhance production in urbanised areas by using low-power devices, leveraging short supply chains, and co-cultivating crops.
In developed countries, farming has shifted to fully automated precision agriculture. Meanwhile, poorer nations can ensure food sovereignty by employing lower-tech solutions and capacity-building initiatives that impart knowledge on effective high-intensity farming practices.
Conflicts have been minimised and are primarily regional, while trade remains predominantly functional. Regional and even global resilience initiatives operate effectively, focusing on resource sharing to maintain stability.
Technology ownership and expertise hold significant value in this scenario, particularly regarding adaptation strategies that help climate-affected poorer countries maintain a sufficient local food supply and facilitate regional trade.
Summary
In this scenario technology ownership and expertise carry significant value, particularly regarding ancillary or adaptation technologies. Extreme technologies find their niche, and trade remains functional—exported products can be exchanged for money or other goods.
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